← Süper Lig 2020 · Tue, May 11, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Alper Ulusoy, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 63% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.83 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor −1 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Erzurumspor FK −1 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Mustafa Pektemek · Alanyaspor |
| 30' | ⚽ (pen) | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Georgios Tzavellas · Erzurumspor FK |
| 59' | 🟨 | Steven Caulker · Alanyaspor |
| 73' | ⚽ | Elbasan Rashani · Erzurumspor FK |
| 79' | 🟨 | François Moubandje · Alanyaspor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Georgios Tzavellas · Alanyaspor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Adolphe Teikeu · Erzurumspor FK |
| 84' | ⚽ | Cenk Ahmet Alkılıç · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 |
| venue | Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 710.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1562.41 | 1416.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.39 | -42.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| league points | 64.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 8.19 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.23 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.40 | 29.58 |
| state index | -0.39 | -1.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |