← Süper Lig 2020 · Mon, May 3, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 73% | 1.32 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.73 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 10% | 9.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −1.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Erzurumspor FK −1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Gökhan Kardeş · Erzurumspor FK |
| 6' | ⚽ (pen) | José Sosa · Fenerbahce |
| 12' | ⚽ | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 14' | ⚽ | Dimitrios Pelkas · Fenerbahce |
| 49' | 🟨 | Elbasan Rashani · Erzurumspor FK |
| 79' | 🟨 | Mehmet Murat Uçar · Erzurumspor FK |
| 81' | ⚽ | Ozgur Sert · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 28 | Shots | 11 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 32.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1702.88 | 1440.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.68 | 17.04 |
| eye test v1 | 1.02 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| league points | 86.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.16 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 30.22 | 29.81 |
| state index | 0.85 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |