← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Apr 17, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Erzurumspor FK +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Emrah Başsan · Erzurumspor FK |
| 26' | 🟨 | Fabiano · Denizlispor |
| 34' | 🟨 | Arvydas Novikovas · Erzurumspor FK |
| 37' | 🟨 | Hasan Hatipoğlu · Erzurumspor FK |
| 46' | ⚽ | Hugo Rodallega · Denizlispor |
| 64' | ⚽ | Hugo Rodallega · Denizlispor |
| 79' | ⚽ | Elbasan Rashani · Erzurumspor FK |
| 86' | ⚽ | Elbasan Rashani · Erzurumspor FK |
| 89' | 🟨 | Petrus Boumal · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 167.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1398.33 | 1423.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.12 | -17.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| league points | 29.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.80 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 4.77 | 5.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 0.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.52 | 31.39 |
| state index | -0.84 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |