← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Apr 11, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 25% | 3.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Besiktas +0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.92 |
| Under | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Cyle Larin · Besiktas |
| 16' | ⚽ | Leo Schwechlen · Erzurumspor FK |
| 26' | ⚽ | Oğuzhan Özyakup · Besiktas |
| 39' | ⚽ | Emrah Başsan · Erzurumspor FK |
| 57' | 🟨 | Dorukhan Toköz · Besiktas |
| 66' | ⚽ | Rachid Ghezzal · Besiktas |
| 82' | 🟨 | Cenk Ahmet Alkılıç · Erzurumspor FK |
| 86' | ⚽ | Gökhan Töre · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Welinton · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 131.00 | 466.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 3.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1429.30 | 1737.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.30 | -19.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.10 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 31.00 | 79.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 4.13 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 2.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | 1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 31.47 | 26.75 |
| state index | -0.91 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |