← Süper Lig 2020 · Wed, Mar 3, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Ali Sansalan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK win | 39% | 2.53 |
| Karagumruk win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Karagumruk +0 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Aatif Chahechouhe · Erzurumspor FK |
| 26' | 🟨 | Cenk Ahmet Alkılıç · Erzurumspor FK |
| 30' | ⚽ | Artur Sobiech · Karagumruk |
| 49' | 🟨 | Johanna Ochieng Omolo · Erzurumspor FK |
| 53' | ⚽ | Lucas Castro · Karagumruk |
| 59' | 🟨 | Vegar Eggen Hedenstad · Karagumruk |
| 60' | 🟨 | Arvydas Novikovas · Erzurumspor FK |
| 63' | ⚽ | Osman Çelik · Erzurumspor FK |
| 75' | 🟨 | Emrah Başsan · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 92.00 | 488.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1448.71 | 1575.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.21 | -4.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.52 |
| league points | 28.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 3.77 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 30.65 | 30.20 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |