← Süper Lig 2020 · Thu, Jan 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Turgut Doman, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 46% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Erzurumspor FK +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Leo Schwechlen · Erzurumspor FK |
| 31' | ⚽ | Emrah Başsan · Erzurumspor FK |
| 32' | 🟨 | Davidson · Alanyaspor |
| 42' | 🟨 | Khouma Babacar · Alanyaspor |
| 53' | 🟨 | Mehmet Murat Uçar · Erzurumspor FK |
| 58' | ⚽ | Anastasios Bakasetas · Alanyaspor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Adolphe Teikeu · Erzurumspor FK |
| 89' | 🟨 | Oltan Karakullukçu · Erzurumspor FK |
| 90' | 🟥 | Georgios Tzavellas · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 51.00 | 600.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1432.01 | 1634.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.71 | -11.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 1.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 19.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 69.00 |
| rest days | 2.88 | 9.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | 2.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 30.86 | 28.57 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 1.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |