← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Dec 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Mustafa Ogretmenoglu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Yeni Malatyaspor win | 59% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.87 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK −1 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Yeni Malatyaspor −1 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Afriyie Acquah · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 35' | 🟨 | Hasan Hatipoğlu · Erzurumspor FK |
| 44' | ⚽ | Ricardo Gomes · Erzurumspor FK |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gabriel Obertan · Erzurumspor FK |
| 47' | 🟨 | Teenage Hadebe · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Cenk Ahmet Alkılıç · Erzurumspor FK |
| 62' | ⚽ | Afriyie Acquah · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 67' | ⚽ | Mitchell Donald · Erzurumspor FK |
| 71' | ⚽ | Gabriel Obertan · Erzurumspor FK |
| 72' | 🟨 | Adem Büyük · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 73' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 24 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Yeni Malatyaspor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Yeni Malatya Stadyumu |
| 🟨 |
| Emrah Başsan · Erzurumspor FK |
| 83' | 🟨 | Petrus Boumal · Erzurumspor FK |
| 87' | 🟨 | Mehmet Murat Uçar · Erzurumspor FK |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 148.00 | 26.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1532.46 | 1391.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 65.62 | -45.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 24.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.78 | 29.75 |
| state index | 0.74 | -1.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.23 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |