← Süper Lig 2020 · Sun, Dec 20, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 70% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.36 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 11% | 9.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK −1.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Besiktas −1.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.49 |
| Under | 36% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Bernard Mensah · Besiktas |
| 36' | 🟨 | İbrahim Akdağ · Erzurumspor FK |
| 38' | 🟨 | Necip Uysal · Besiktas |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Vincent Aboubakar · Besiktas |
| 63' | ⚽ | Georges-Kévin N'Koudou · Besiktas |
| 69' | ⚽ | Domagoj Vida · Besiktas |
| 71' | ⚽ | Vincent Aboubakar · Besiktas |
| 78' | 🟨 | Domagoj Vida · Besiktas |
| 79' | 🟨 | Rashad Muhammed · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 354.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1679.90 | 1407.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.60 | -33.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| league points | 25.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 0.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.57 | 30.18 |
| state index | 0.90 | -1.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |