← Süper Lig 2020 · Wed, Dec 9, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Sarper Barıs Saka, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Erzurumspor FK −0.5 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Adama Traoré · Hatayspor |
| 40' | ⚽ | Mame Biram Diouf · Hatayspor |
| 43' | 🟨 | Babajide David Akintola · Hatayspor |
| 47' | ⚽ (og) | Osman Çelik · Hatayspor |
| 53' | 🟨 | Cenk Ahmet Alkılıç · Erzurumspor FK |
| 58' | ⚽ | Babajide David Akintola · Hatayspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Monir El Kajoui · Hatayspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ömer Şişmanoğlu · Erzurumspor FK |
| 81' | 🟨 | Kaan Kanak · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Antakya Atatürk Stadı |
| coach days | 130.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1536.74 | 1428.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.90 | -23.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| league points | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 4.02 | 4.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.25 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.48 | 29.08 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |