← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Nov 7, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Cuneyt Cakir, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Goztep win | 30% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK +0 | 58% | 1.65 |
| Goztep +0 | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Cherif Ndiaye · Goztep |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | Arvydas Novikovas · Erzurumspor FK |
| 89' | 🟨 | Armando Sadiku · Erzurumspor FK |
| 90' | 🟨 | Armando Sadiku · Erzurumspor FK |
| 90' | 🟥 | Armando Sadiku · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 251.00 | 645.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.26 |
| elo | 1440.91 | 1492.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.53 | 10.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -1.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.83 | 14.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -10.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 5.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 31.01 | 28.17 |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |