← Süper Lig 2020 · Fri, Oct 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Fırat Aydınus, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 26% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Erzurumspor FK −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Badou Ndiaye · Karagumruk |
| 15' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Karagumruk |
| 21' | 🟨 | Arturo Mina · Erzurumspor FK |
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Lucas Biglia · Karagumruk |
| 45' | ⚽ | Badou Ndiaye · Karagumruk |
| 71' | ⚽ | Alassane Ndao · Karagumruk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ricardo Gomes · Erzurumspor FK |
| 90' | ⚽ | Erik Sabo · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 9 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Vefa Stadium |
| coach days | 364.00 | 243.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1535.35 | 1452.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.29 | -4.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.17 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| league points | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 5.17 | 6.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.83 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 30.00 | 29.99 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |