← Süper Lig 2020 · Sat, Sep 26, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Tugay Kaan Numanoglu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Kayserispor +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Kaan Kanak · Erzurumspor FK |
| 28' | 🟨 | Hasan Hatipoğlu · Erzurumspor FK |
| 37' | 🟨 | Arturo Mina · Erzurumspor FK |
| 42' | ⚽ | Rashad Muhammed · Erzurumspor FK |
| 45' | ⚽ | Arvydas Novikovas · Erzurumspor FK |
| 48' | 🟨 | Pedro Henrique · Kayserispor |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Pedro Henrique · Kayserispor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Sissoko · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 209.00 | 209.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1461.32 | 1448.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.57 | 11.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.62 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 6.77 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 30.33 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |