← Segunda División 2020 · Mon, May 24, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Muñiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sabadell win | 54% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
| Ponferradina win | 19% | 5.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.75 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Sabadell −0.75 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Adri · Sabadell |
| 23' | 🟨 | Iker Undabarrena · Sabadell |
| 34' | ⚽ | Stoichkov · Sabadell |
| 70' | 🟨 | José Amo · Ponferradina |
| 73' | 🟨 | Juan Fernández · Sabadell |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sabadell | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta |
| coach days | 784.00 | 1088.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1396.89 | 1462.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.65 | -13.44 |
| eye test v1 | -1.01 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| league points | 41.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 5.08 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.98 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.92 | 27.69 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |