← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, May 16, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Alcorcon win | 14% | 6.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Mallorca −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.50 |
| Over | 35% | 2.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Kelechi Nwakali · Alcorcon |
| 27' | 🟨 | José León · Alcorcon |
| 36' | 🟨 | Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca |
| 43' | 🟨 | Juan Aguilera · Alcorcon |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Abdón Prats · Mallorca |
| 46' | 🟨 | Abdón Prats · Mallorca |
| 50' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Sedlar · Mallorca |
| 54' | ⚽ | Salva Sevilla · Mallorca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| coach days | 288.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1579.29 | 1455.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.42 | 26.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 73.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.99 | 8.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.95 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.63 | 30.22 |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |