← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, May 16, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sabadell win | 35% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Tenerife win | 31% | 3.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sabadell +0 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Tenerife +0 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.41 |
| Over | 32% | 3.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Valentín Vada · Tenerife |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nikola Šipčić · Tenerife |
| 50' | 🟨 | Juan Fernández · Sabadell |
| 51' | ⚽ | Sergio González · Tenerife |
| 53' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Sabadell |
| 64' | 🟨 | Stoichkov · Sabadell |
| 87' | 🟨 | Édgar Hernández · Sabadell |
| 88' | 🟨 | Néstor Querol · Sabadell |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sabadell | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta |
| coach days | 776.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1422.37 | 1490.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.95 | -21.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.96 | -1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| league points | 41.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 8.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.02 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 28.67 | 28.40 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |