← Segunda División 2020 · Mon, May 3, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Sabadell win | 23% | 4.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sabadell +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Gorka Guruzeta · Sabadell |
| 37' | 🟨 | Stoichkov · Sabadell |
| 43' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Sabadell |
| 53' | ⚽ | Adri · Sabadell |
| 58' | 🟥 | Josu Ozkoidi · Sabadell |
| 83' | 🟨 | Alejandro Catena · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 89' | 🟨 | Óscar Valentín · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adri · Sabadell |
| 90' | ⚽ | Édgar Hernández · Sabadell |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 19 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sabadell | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta |
| 4.20 |
| coach days | 763.00 | 275.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1411.15 | 1532.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.56 | 0.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 38.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.88 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.08 | 26.82 |
| state index | -0.31 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |