← Segunda División 2020 · Mon, Apr 12, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Castellon win | 20% | 4.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Alcorcon −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.38 |
| Over | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Castellon |
| 4' | ⚽ | Xisco · Alcorcon |
| 10' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Castellon |
| 22' | ⚽ | Adrián Lapeña · Castellon |
| 61' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Alcorcon |
| 64' | 🟨 | Víctor García · Alcorcon |
| 73' | ⚽ | Kelechi Nwakali · Alcorcon |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marc Gual · Alcorcon |
| 84' | 🟨 | Iago Indias · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dani Jiménez · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 162.00 | 620.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| elo | 1428.88 | 1429.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.87 | 23.86 |
| eye test v1 | -1.06 | -1.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.79 |
| league points | 34.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 60.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 32.00 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 9.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -11.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -2.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 27.58 | 28.18 |
| state index | -0.82 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |