← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Apr 11, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sabadell win | 39% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Cartagena win | 29% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Sabadell −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Stoichkov · Sabadell |
| 41' | 🟨 | Stoichkov · Sabadell |
| 41' | 🟨 | Carlos David · Cartagena |
| 53' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 59' | 🟥 | Jaime Sánchez Muñoz · Sabadell |
| 71' | 🟨 | Antoñito · Cartagena |
| 86' | 🟨 | Adalberto Carrasquilla · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sabadell | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta |
| coach days | 741.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1394.42 | 1408.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.72 | 0.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.57 |
| league points | 33.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.28 | 31.32 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |