← Segunda División 2020 · Mon, Apr 5, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | 2.80 |
| Cartagena win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Alcorcon win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Alcorcon +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 72% | 1.34 |
| Over | 28% | 3.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | David Andújar · Cartagena |
| 21' | 🟨 | José León · Alcorcon |
| 30' | 🟨 | Fidel Escobar · Alcorcon |
| 33' | 🟨 | David Andújar · Cartagena |
| 34' | ⚽ | Cristian López · Cartagena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 49' | ⚽ | Óscar Arribas Pasero · Alcorcon |
| 51' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Alcorcon |
| 85' | 🟨 | Teddy · Cartagena |
| 87' | 🟨 | Xisco · Alcorcon |
| 88' | 🟨 | Samuel Sosa · Alcorcon |
| 88' | 🟥 | Hugo Fraile · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kleandro Lleshi · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 94.00 | 155.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1398.63 | 1438.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.76 | -1.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| league points | 32.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.95 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 30.24 | 26.16 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |