← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Mar 28, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 39% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Sabadell win | 27% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sabadell −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Lugo −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Juan Fernández · Sabadell |
| 20' | 🟨 | Jaime Sánchez Muñoz · Sabadell |
| 44' | 🟨 | Pierre Cornud · Sabadell |
| 45' | 🟨 | Frederico Venâncio · Lugo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Lugo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Iker Undabarrena · Sabadell |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pierre Cornud · Sabadell |
| 90' | 🟥 | Pierre Cornud · Sabadell |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Sabadell |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 300.00 | 727.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1453.27 | 1383.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.64 | -12.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| league points | 37.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 6.78 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 29.23 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | 1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |