← Segunda División 2020 · Mon, Mar 8, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.87 |
| Alcorcon win | 33% | 3.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Alcorcon +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Juan Berrocal · Mirandes |
| 46' | ⚽ | Xisco · Alcorcon |
| 61' | ⚽ | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 71' | 🟨 | Javier Muñoz · Mirandes |
| 76' | ⚽ | Xisco · Alcorcon |
| 80' | ⚽ | Óscar Arribas Pasero · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Víctor García · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mario Barco Vila · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 127.00 | 250.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1419.82 | 1496.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.89 | 20.10 |
| eye test v1 | -1.28 | -0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| league points | 27.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 8.03 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.47 | 24.59 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |