← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Mar 7, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Ortiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 42% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.86 |
| Sabadell win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sabadell −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.44 |
| Over | 33% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Josua Mejías · Málaga CF |
| 44' | 🟨 | Víctor García · Sabadell |
| 62' | ⚽ | Luis Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 78' | 🟨 | Luis Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Luis Muñoz · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Sabadell |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 431.00 | 706.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1467.91 | 1393.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.61 | 10.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| league points | 37.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 5.79 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.03 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.15 | 27.95 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | 1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |