← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Feb 21, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 43% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| UD Logroñés win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| UD Logroñés −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.39 |
| Over | 31% | 3.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Lugo |
| 18' | 🟨 | Álex Pérez · UD Logroñés |
| 43' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ander Cantero · Lugo |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Andy Rodríguez · UD Logroñés |
| 63' | 🟨 | Hugo Rama · Lugo |
| 68' | ⚽ | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 77' | 🟨 | Pablo Bobadilla · UD Logroñés |
| 83' | 🟨 | Hugo Rama · Lugo |
| 83' | 🟥 | Hugo Rama · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | UD Logroñés |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 265.00 | 1453.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1466.91 | 1411.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.15 | -48.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | -1.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 33.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.87 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 28.54 | 27.90 |
| state index | -0.32 | -1.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.95 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |