← Segunda División 2020 · Mon, Feb 8, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 34% | 2.87 |
| Ponferradina win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Alcorcon win | 33% | 2.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Alcorcon +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 34' | 🟨 | Hugo Fraile · Alcorcon |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 59' | 🟨 | Víctor García · Alcorcon |
| 83' | 🟨 | Paris Barandiaran · Ponferradina |
| 89' | 🟨 | Adrián Castellano · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 983.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1457.92 | 1419.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.98 | -17.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.76 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| league points | 34.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 9.92 | 9.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |