← Segunda División 2020 · Mon, Jan 11, 08:30 PM UTC · ref: Iñaki Bikandi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sabadell win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.87 |
| Lugo win | 30% | 3.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sabadell +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Lugo +0 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.46 |
| Over | 34% | 2.86 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Gorka Guruzeta · Sabadell |
| 63' | 🟨 | Frederico Venâncio · Lugo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Lugo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Hacen · Lugo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Óscar Rubio · Sabadell |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sabadell | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta |
| coach days | 651.00 | 224.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1376.42 | 1470.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.76 | -1.39 |
| eye test v1 | -1.31 | -1.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.82 |
| league points | 19.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 7.13 | 7.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | -1.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 28.09 | 28.48 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |