← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Dec 6, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 40% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.99 |
| Sabadell win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sabadell +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Oviedo +0.25 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.49 |
| Over | 35% | 2.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Pierre Cornud · Sabadell |
| 63' | 🟨 | Lucas Ahijado · Oviedo |
| 65' | ⚽ | Marco Sangalli · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stoichkov · Sabadell |
| 90' | 🟨 | Néstor Querol · Sabadell |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adri · Sabadell |
| 90' | 🟨 | Édgar Hernández · Sabadell |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rodri · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Sangalli · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jimmy Suárez · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sabadell | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.00 |
| venue | Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta |
| coach days | 615.00 | 309.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1366.66 | 1496.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.87 | -4.52 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.81 |
| league points | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 3.06 | 3.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.69 | 27.35 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |