← Segunda División 2020 · Wed, Dec 2, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés win | 37% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Ponferradina win | 30% | 3.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Ponferradina +0 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.44 |
| Over | 33% | 2.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Jon Errasti · UD Logroñés |
| 19' | 🟨 | Iago López Carracedo · UD Logroñés |
| 20' | ⚽ | Oscar Sielva · Ponferradina |
| 49' | ⚽ | Iñaki Sáenz · UD Logroñés |
| 51' | 🟨 | Ousama Siddiki · UD Logroñés |
| 74' | 🟨 | Alexandru Paşcanu · Ponferradina |
| 76' | ⚽ | Ivan Rodríguez · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iñaki Sáenz · UD Logroñés |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mateusz Bogusz · UD Logroñés |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 21 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | UD Logroñés | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.63 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas |
| coach days | 1372.00 | 915.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1507.81 | 1441.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.47 | 20.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| league points | 23.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 3.03 | 3.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 27.84 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |