← Segunda División 2020 · Thu, Nov 5, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.25 |
| Sabadell win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sabadell +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Almeria +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ (pen) | Ager Aketxe · Almeria |
| 17' | 🟨 | Édgar Hernández · Sabadell |
| 22' | 🟨 | Álex Centelles · Almeria |
| 34' | 🟨 | Iker Undabarrena · Sabadell |
| 39' | 🟨 | Mathieu Peybernes · Almeria |
| 39' | ⚽ | Stoichkov · Sabadell |
| 41' | 🟨 | Mathieu Peybernes · Almeria |
| 41' | 🟥 | Mathieu Peybernes · Almeria |
| 53' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Sabadell |
| 57' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 60' | 🟨 | Aleix Coch Lucena · Sabadell |
| 65' | 🟨 | Iván Balliu · Almeria |
| 70' | 🟨 | Largie Ramazani · Almeria |
| 73' | 🟨 | Aitor Buñuel · Almeria |
| 85' | 🟨 | Heber Pena Picos · Sabadell |
| 90' | ⚽ | Largie Ramazani · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sabadell | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta |
| coach days | 584.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 4.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1374.81 | 1498.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.43 | 10.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.25 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 4.03 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.13 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 30.58 | 24.82 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |