← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Oct 25, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Iñaki Bikandi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | 2.80 |
| Mirandes win | 33% | 3.08 |
| Málaga CF win | 33% | 3.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Mirandes +0 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 72% | 1.35 |
| Over | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Jozabed Sánchez · Málaga CF |
| 53' | ⚽ | Erik Jirka · Mirandes |
| 71' | 🟨 | Juan Berrocal · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Victor Gómez · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.39 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 298.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1529.15 | 1463.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.71 | 7.82 |
| eye test v1 | -1.02 | -1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| league points | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 25.40 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |