← Süper Lig 2021 · Sun, Dec 19, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Aydınus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Besiktas win | 33% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Fenerbahce −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Mesut Özil · Fenerbahce |
| 25' | ⚽ | Souza · Besiktas |
| 30' | ⚽ | Mergim Berisha · Fenerbahce |
| 43' | 🟨 | Can Bozdoğan · Besiktas |
| 59' | ⚽ | Souza · Besiktas |
| 69' | 🟨 | Rıdvan Yılmaz · Besiktas |
| 74' | 🟨 | Attila Szalai · Fenerbahce |
| 78' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 78' | 🟨 | Michy Batshuayi · Besiktas |
| 88' | 🟨 | Oğuzhan Özyakup · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rachid Ghezzal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 0 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 18.00 | 718.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1674.83 | 1639.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.49 | -43.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| league points | 36.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 63.20 |
| rest days | 5.94 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | 1.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.30 | 26.49 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |