← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, May 21, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Raúl González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 74% | 1.32 |
| Draw | 17% | 6.09 |
| Alcorcon win | 9% | 12.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −1.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Alcorcon −1.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Largie Ramazani · Almeria |
| 45' | 🟨 | Samú Costa · Almeria |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Alcorcon |
| 45' | 🟨 | José Carlos Ramírez · Alcorcon |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jesús Ruiz Suárez · Alcorcon |
| 81' | ⚽ | Giovanni Zarfino · Alcorcon |
| 82' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Arnau Puigmal · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 415.00 | 262.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1663.21 | 1379.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.44 | -4.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.72 |
| league points | 91.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 6.33 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.07 | 0.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 28.63 |
| state index | 1.25 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |