← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, May 8, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 51% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Alcorcon win | 21% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Óscar Rivas · Alcorcon |
| 41' | 🟨 | Fran Gámez · Zaragoza |
| 45' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Apeh · Alcorcon |
| 62' | ⚽ | Ivan Calero · Alcorcon |
| 68' | 🟨 | José Ángel Jurado · Alcorcon |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jesús Ruiz Suárez · Alcorcon |
| 79' | ⚽ | Óscar Arribas Pasero · Alcorcon |
| 83' | 🟨 | Borja Sainz · Zaragoza |
| 84' | 🟨 | Alex Mula · Alcorcon |
| 85' | 🟨 | Xisco · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jaume Grau |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 7.00 | 249.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1512.36 | 1363.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.18 | -18.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.66 |
| league points | 56.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 0.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.58 | 28.74 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |