← Segunda División 2021 · Fri, Apr 29, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 56% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 4.00 |
| Málaga CF win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.75 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Málaga CF −0.75 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Jonathan Viera · Las Palmas |
| 51' | 🟨 | Braian Cufré · Málaga CF |
| 55' | 🟨 | Victor Gómez · Málaga CF |
| 77' | 🟨 | Omenuke Mfulu · Las Palmas |
| 79' | ⚽ | Jesé Rodríguez · Las Palmas |
| 85' | ⚽ | Aleix Febas · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Victor Gómez · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟥 | Victor Gómez · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 118.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1534.21 | 1411.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.88 | 6.79 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| league points | 62.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 5.24 | 6.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.51 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.76 | 26.46 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.25 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |