← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Apr 24, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 41% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Alcorcon win | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon +0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Oviedo +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.60 |
| Over | 39% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Luismi · Oviedo |
| 23' | 🟨 | Laure · Alcorcon |
| 38' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Alcorcon |
| 64' | ⚽ | Óscar Rivas · Alcorcon |
| 79' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Alcorcon |
| 79' | 🟥 | Giovanni Zarfino · Alcorcon |
| 82' | ⚽ | Matheus Aiás · Oviedo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Carlos Isaac · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hugo Rama · Oviedo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hugo Rama · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 235.00 | 813.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1374.99 | 1577.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.94 | 46.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| league points | 26.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 7.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.65 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.89 | 27.01 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |