← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Apr 23, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 34% | 3.07 |
| Málaga CF win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Eibar +0 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Dani Barrio · Málaga CF |
| -5' | 🟨 | Javi Jiménez · Málaga CF |
| -5' | 🟥 | Luis Muñoz · Málaga CF |
| 4' | ⚽ | Brandon · Málaga CF |
| 31' | 🟥 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ramón Enríquez · Málaga CF |
| 50' | 🟨 | Kevin Villodres · Málaga CF |
| 63' | 🟨 | Toño · Eibar |
| 70' | 🟨 | Paulino De la Fuente · Málaga CF |
| 73' | 🟨 | Fernando Llorente · Eibar |
| 78' | ⚽ | Fran Sol · Eibar |
| 82' | 🟨 | Álvaro Tejero · Eibar |
| 90' | 🟨 | Victor Gómez · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brandon · Málaga CF |
| 90' | ⚽ | Fran Sol · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 25 |
| 1 | On target | 10 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 22.00 | 326.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 3.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1420.65 | 1622.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.99 | -26.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 46.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | — |
| league points | 45.00 | 80.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.48 | 30.66 |
| state index | -0.30 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |