← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Mar 27, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 46% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
| Girona win | 26% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Almeria −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Borja García · Girona |
| 13' | ⚽ | Borja García · Girona |
| 19' | 🟨 | Pol Lozano · Girona |
| 45' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Ely · Almeria |
| 49' | 🟨 | Santiago Bueno · Girona |
| 51' | 🟨 | Alejandro Pozo · Almeria |
| 78' | 🟨 | Victor Sanchez · Girona |
| 80' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Girona |
| 83' | 🟨 | Aleix García · Girona |
| 89' | 🟨 | Bernardo Espinosa · Girona |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 360.00 | 269.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.59 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1617.32 | 1610.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.89 | 22.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.78 |
| league points | 68.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.67 | 26.34 |
| state index | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |