← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Mar 27, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Alcorcon win | 22% | 4.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Alcorcon +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Roque Mesa · Valladolid |
| 32' | ⚽ | Monchu · Valladolid |
| 39' | ⚽ | Óscar Rivas · Alcorcon |
| 41' | 🟨 | Javi Sánchez · Valladolid |
| 63' | 🟨 | José Ángel Jurado · Alcorcon |
| 86' | 🟨 | Joaquín Fernández · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 207.00 | 299.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1344.61 | 1616.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.94 | -3.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.78 |
| league points | 18.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.14 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.53 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.98 | 26.08 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |