← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Mar 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 42% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Málaga CF win | 27% | 3.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Fuenlabrada −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.53 |
| Over | 36% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Brandon · Málaga CF |
| 36' | 🟨 | Paolo Gozzi Iweru · Fuenlabrada |
| 61' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 68' | ⚽ | Mohamed Bouldini · Fuenlabrada |
| 87' | 🟨 | Victor Gómez · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 26 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| coach days | 18.00 | 77.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1423.42 | 1412.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.26 | -9.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 28.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 6.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.84 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.86 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.12 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |