← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Feb 27, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 39% | 2.56 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Alcorcon win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Ponferradina +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Eduardo Espiau · Ponferradina |
| 43' | ⚽ | José Antonio Ríos · Ponferradina |
| 46' | ⚽ | Giovanni Zarfino · Alcorcon |
| 50' | 🟨 | Paul Anton · Ponferradina |
| 54' | 🟨 | José Ángel Jurado · Alcorcon |
| 56' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Alcorcon |
| 69' | 🟨 | Agus Medina · Ponferradina |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Borja Valle · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 179.00 | 1367.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1326.62 | 1544.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.77 | 21.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| league points | 13.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.29 | 7.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.43 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.25 | 28.50 |
| state index | -1.53 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |