← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Feb 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Alcorcon win | 22% | 4.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Fuenlabrada −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.44 |
| Over | 33% | 2.89 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Óscar Rivas · Alcorcon |
| 19' | 🟨 | Roberto Olabe · Alcorcon |
| 35' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 42' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Apeh · Alcorcon |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mohamed Bouldini · Fuenlabrada |
| 56' | 🟨 | Javier Ontiveros · Fuenlabrada |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Pedro León · Fuenlabrada |
| 68' | ⚽ | José Ángel Jurado · Alcorcon |
| 74' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Apeh · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| coach days | 81.00 | 172.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1450.29 | 1321.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.06 | -26.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 27.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 0.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -2.08 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.45 | -1.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.57 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |