← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Feb 12, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Málaga CF win | 26% | 4.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0.5 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Almeria +0.5 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 34' | 🟨 | Sergio Akieme · Almeria |
| 53' | ⚽ | Umar Sadiq · Almeria |
| 75' | 🟨 | Mathieu Peybernes · Málaga CF |
| 86' | 🟨 | Lucas Robertone · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Victor Gómez · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 42.00 | 317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 1.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 3.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.71 |
| elo | 1428.91 | 1612.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.63 | -42.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.80 |
| league points | 36.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 10.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 29.15 | 25.32 |
| state index | -1.20 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.89 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |