← Segunda División 2021 · Fri, Feb 4, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Raúl González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 48% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Alcorcon win | 22% | 4.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Burgos −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Xisco · Alcorcon |
| 19' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Alcorcon |
| 25' | ⚽ | Miguel Muñoz Mora · Burgos |
| 28' | ⚽ | Pablo Valcarce · Burgos |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nicolás Gorosito · Alcorcon |
| 51' | 🟨 | Borja Valle · Alcorcon |
| 52' | 🟨 | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
| 61' | ⚽ | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 613.00 | 156.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1496.60 | 1335.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.47 | -14.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 35.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 6.11 | 5.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 0.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.65 | 29.07 |
| state index | 0.00 | -1.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |