← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Jan 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Hernández
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza win | 51% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Alcorcon win | 20% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Ibiza −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Sergio Castel Martínez · Ibiza |
| 24' | ⚽ | Xisco · Alcorcon |
| 27' | ⚽ | Xisco · Alcorcon |
| 45' | ⚽ | Miguel Cifuentes · Ibiza |
| 52' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Ibiza |
| 56' | ⚽ | Juan Fernández · Ibiza |
| 68' | ⚽ | Mateusz Bogusz · Ibiza |
| 86' | ⚽ | Sergio Castel Martínez · Ibiza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ibiza | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic |
| coach days | 38.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1479.75 | 1347.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.76 | -5.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.77 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| league points | 31.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 5.79 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 0.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.51 | -1.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |