← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Dec 12, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 37% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Alcorcon win | 32% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena +0 | 56% | 1.73 |
| Alcorcon +0 | 44% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ (og) | Pablo Vázquez · Alcorcon |
| 36' | ⚽ | Berto Cayarga · Cartagena |
| 39' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Cartagena |
| 41' | 🟨 | Carlos Hernández · Alcorcon |
| 45' | 🟨 | Juan Aguilera · Alcorcon |
| 67' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Cartagena |
| 87' | 🟨 | Juanma Bravo · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 102.00 | 345.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 5.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1348.04 | 1481.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.77 | 1.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.70 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| league points | 9.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.43 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 31.07 | 30.57 |
| state index | -1.05 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |