← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Dec 5, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Alcorcon win | 17% | 5.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Alcorcon −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Dani Calvo · Oviedo |
| 38' | 🟨 | Nicolás Gorosito · Alcorcon |
| 47' | ⚽ | Gastón Brugman · Oviedo |
| 65' | ⚽ | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
| 68' | ⚽ | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Laure · Alcorcon |
| 90' | ⚽ | Raúl Asencio · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 673.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 1.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1518.47 | 1354.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.75 | -10.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 49.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| league points | 27.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 8.89 | 8.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 0.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 30.50 |
| state index | 0.02 | -1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |