← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Nov 21, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 62% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Alcorcon win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −1 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Tenerife −1 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Nicolás Gorosito · Alcorcon |
| 20' | 🟨 | Laure · Alcorcon |
| 37' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Alcorcon |
| 41' | 🟨 | Hugo Fraile · Alcorcon |
| 55' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Apeh · Tenerife |
| 75' | 🟨 | Míchel Herrero · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 385.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1541.00 | 1357.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.93 | -30.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 42.40 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| league points | 28.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 5.89 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 0.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.03 | — |
| state index | 0.44 | -1.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |