← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Nov 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 39% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Lugo win | 29% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar +0 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Lugo +0 | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Sergio Álvarez · Eibar |
| 28' | ⚽ | Chris Ramos · Lugo |
| 33' | ⚽ | Chris Ramos · Lugo |
| 34' | ⚽ | Edu Expósito · Eibar |
| 42' | 🟨 | Quique · Eibar |
| 45' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Lugo |
| 57' | 🟥 | Ricard Sánchez · Lugo |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 29 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 234.00 | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.22 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1446.35 | 1614.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.59 | -2.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| league points | 21.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.09 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.05 | 30.45 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |