← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Nov 7, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 43% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Málaga CF win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.25 | 51% | 1.97 |
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | David Andújar · Cartagena |
| 9' | 🟨 | Javi Jiménez · Málaga CF |
| 37' | 🟨 | Genaro · Málaga CF |
| 43' | 🟨 | Victor Gómez · Málaga CF |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 54' | ⚽ | Pablo Vázquez · Cartagena |
| 61' | 🟨 | Paulino De la Fuente · Málaga CF |
| 65' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 78' | 🟨 | Mathieu Peybernes · Málaga CF |
| 82' | ⚽ | Mathieu Peybernes · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 27 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 310.00 | 159.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.40 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1479.85 | 1486.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.76 | 22.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 25.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 2.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.24 | 26.88 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |