← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Oct 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.06 |
| Lugo win | 31% | 3.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Lugo +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Hugo Rama · Lugo |
| 27' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Lugo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Orest Lebedenko · Lugo |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jairo Izquierdo · Girona |
| 68' | 🟨 | Samu Sáiz · Girona |
| 80' | 🟨 | Pol Lozano · Girona |
| 86' | ⚽ | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Arnau Martínez · Girona |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Kébé · Girona |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 191.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1421.93 | 1541.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.79 | -44.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.20 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 5.79 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.72 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.14 | 26.28 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.36 | 1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |