← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Sep 26, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Alcorcon win | 16% | 6.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Alcorcon −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Sergio León · Valladolid |
| 19' | ⚽ | Álvaro Aguado · Valladolid |
| 69' | 🟨 | Nicolás Gorosito · Alcorcon |
| 80' | 🟨 | Roque Mesa · Valladolid |
| 86' | ⚽ | Shon Weissman · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 117.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1537.59 | 1426.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.36 | -31.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.70 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.98 | 29.34 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |